The point of this exercise is to show that tests for functional form cannot be relied on

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The point of this exercise is to show that tests for functional form cannot be relied on as a general test for omitted variables. Suppose that, conditional on the explanatory variables x1 and x2, a linear model relating y to x1 and x2 satisfies the Gauss-Markov assumptions:

y = Bo + Bx, + Bx2 + u E(ulx1, x2) = 0 Var(ulx,, x,) = 0?.

To make the question interesting, assume β2 ¹ 0.


Suppose further that x2 has a simple linear relationship with x1:

(i) Show that

Under random sampling, what is the probability limit of the OLS estimator from the simple regression of y on x1? Is the simple regression estimator generally consistent for β1?

(ii) If you run the regression of y on x1, x21, what will be the probability limit of the OLS estimator of the coefficient on x21? Explain.

(iii) Using substitution, show that we can write

It can be shown that, if we define

What consequences does this have for the t statistic on x2from the regression in part (ii)?

(iv) What do you conclude about adding a nonlinear function of x1—in particular, x2—in an attempt to detect omission of x2?

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