For the HiTech example (17.1), find the risk-neutral probability of default. Example 17.1 (A leveraged firm) The
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For the HiTech example (17.1), find the risk-neutral probability of default.
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Example 17.1 (A leveraged firm) The HiTech firm currently has a value of $1 mil- lion and is financed in part by a 5-year loan that requires payment of $800,000 at the end of 5 years. The risk-free rate is 5%. If HiTech's value at the end of 5 years is less than $800,000, then the firm will default and the bondholders will take over the company and sell it for its value. Assume the drift rate of HiTech's value is = .15 and the volatility is = .25. The value of the loan can be calculated directly. Using
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