Question: 1.3. Consider a sequence of items from a production process, with each item being graded as good or defective. Suppose that a good item is

1.3. Consider a sequence of items from a production process, with each item being graded as good or defective. Suppose that a good item is followed by another good item with probability a and is followed by a defective item with probability 1 -

a. Similarly, a defective item is followed by another defective item with probability /3 and is followed by a good item with probability 1 - /3. If the first item is good, what is the probability that the first defective item to appear is the fifth item?

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