Question: The random variables X,, X, are said to be exchangeable if X,, ., X, has the same joint distribution as X,., X, whenever i, i,

The random variables X,, X, are said to be exchangeable if X,, ., X, has the same joint distribution as X,., X, whenever i, i, , i, is a permutation of 1, 2, , n That is, they are exchangeable if the joint distribution function P{X, x, X x2, ..., X, x} is a symmetric function of (x, x2, .,x,). Let X1, X2, denote the interar- rival times of a renewal process

(a) Argue that conditional on N(t) = n, X, ., X, are exchangeable Would X, X, X., be exchangeable (conditional on N(t) = n)?

(b) Use

(a) to prove that for n > 0 X + E + XN (1) N(t) N(t) = n =E[X|N(t)=n].

(c) Prove that X + + X N(O) E N(t) | N() > 0] = N(t)>0 E[X| X

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