Question: Below are data for U.S. DPI and PCE on two major components of consumer spending, motor vehicles and parts and housing and utilities. One is

Below are data for U.S. DPI and PCE on two major components of consumer spending, motor vehicles and parts and housing and utilities. One is a durable good and the other is comprised of housing and other services and non-durables, such as natural gas purchases. Using scatter diagrams and trendlines, generate graphs showing the relationship of each of the consumption categories to DPI and find the equation of the graph and the R squared. Use your results to answer the questions to the right.

c) B. Find the equation that shows the relationship between housing and utilities expenditures (PCE) and DPI (insert a linear trendline and show the equation on the scatterplot).

d) What are the R squares for the equations? Which one is better? Can you provide an economic rationale to explain the difference?

e) Use the equations to calculate estimated values for both types of expenditures for 2011 and 2012. How well did the equations predict values for 2011 and 2012?

f) If DPI increases at a rate of 2.2% in 2013 and then at a rate of 2.6% in 2014, what are the predicted values for consumer spending on motor vehicles and parts? On housing and utilities?







Year

DPI

Motor Vehicles and Parts




1964.

462

26




1965.

498

30




1966.

537

30




1967.

575

30




1968.

625

35




1969.

674

37




1970.

736

35




1971.

801

43




1972.

869

49




1973.

978

54




1974.

1,072

48




1975.

1,187

53




1976.

1,302

68




1977.

1,435

80




1978.

1,607

89




1979.

1,791

90




1980.

2,003

84




1981.

2,237

93




1982.

2,413

100




1983.

2,600

123




1984.

2,892

147




1985.

3,079

170




1986.

3,259

188




1987.

3,435

188




1988.

3,726

202




1989.

3,991

208




1990.

4,254

205




1991.

4,445

186




1992.

4,737

205




1993.

4,922

225




1994.

5,184

250




1995.

5,457

256




1996.

5,760

274




1997.

6,075

293




1998.

6,499

320




1999.

6,803

351




2000.

7,327

363




2001.

7,649

383




2002.

8,010

401




2003.

8,378

401




2004.

8,889

404




2005.

9,277

408




2006.

9,916

395




2007.

10,424

400




2008.

11,025

339




2009.

10,722

316




2010.

11,127

343




2011.

11,549

374




2012 p .

11,931

407










Year

DPI

Housing and Utilities




1964.

462

72




1965.

498

77




1966.

537

81




1967.

575

86

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