Imagine it is October 29, 2020 and the 4 th named tropical cyclone just formed in the
Question:
Imagine it is October 29, 2020 and the 4 th named tropical cyclone just formed in the Caribbean and is forecast to move toward Florida. Questions:
1. Would you consider the 2020 hurricane season to be above average, average, or below average in terms of hurricane activity?
2. If this tropical cyclone were to achieve a maximum sustained wind speed of 136 mph, what rank would it get on the Saffir-Simpson Scale?
3. What would its name be?
4. Examine the map below, which has two arrows that show two possible tracks for the eye of this hurricane. Which hurricane track (#1 or #2) would produce the worst possible situation for Tampa, FL in terms of storm surge and wind damage? Please explain why in one or two sentences. (Tampa’s distance from both tracks is exactly the same.)