Question: Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profits that would be realized during the next year

Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profits that would be realized during the next year for each of three investment alternatives Mickey is considering:


State of Nature

Decision Alternative

Good Economy

Poor Economy

Stock Market

80000

-20000

Bonds

40000

21000

CDs

25000

25000

Probability

.5

.5

(a) What decision would maximize expected profits?

(b) What is the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy?

(c) Develop an opportunity loss table for the investment problem that Mickey Lawson faces.

(d) What decision would minimize the expected opportunity loss?

(e) What is the minimum EOL?

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