Question: Model-Building and Diagnostics A study obtained mortgage yields in n=18 U.S. metropolitan areas in the 1960s. The researcher obtained the following variables and fit a

Model-Building and Diagnostics

A study obtained mortgage yields in n=18 U.S. metropolitan areas in the 1960s. The researcher obtained the following variables and fit a linear regression model to see which factors (variables) were associated with yield (each variable was obtained for each metro area):

  • Y = Mortgage Yield (Interest Rate as a %)
  • X1 = Average Loan/Mortgage Ratio (High Values Low Down Payments/Higher Risk)
  • X2 = Distance from Boston (in miles) - (Most of population was in Northeast in the 1960s)
  • X3 = Savings per unit built (Measure of Available capital versus building rate)
  • X4 = Savings per capita
  • X5 = Population increase from 1950 to 1960 (%)
  • X6 = Percent of first mortgage from inter-regional banks (Measures flow of money from outside SMSA)

p.2.a. Using stepwise regression, based on AIC, choose the best model

p.2.b. Using all possible regressions, choose the best model, based on the Cp criterion

p.3.c. Obtain Studentized deleted residuals, hat values, DFFITS, Cooks D, and DFBETAS for each city, based on the model you selected in part a). any cities stand out as outliers or influential cases? Specifically give your "critical" cut-off value for each measure

NEED

Model-Building and Diagnostics

p.2.a. Model selected by Stepwise Regression:

p.2.b. Model Selected based on Cp from all possible regressions:

p.2.c. Cut-off values: (either from book/slides or using R's criteria):

Studentized Residuals: hat-values: DFFITS:

Cook's D: DFBETAS:

Influential Cases (if any):

smsa mortYld X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
Los Angeles-Long Bea 6.17 78.1 3042 91.3 1738.1 45.5 33.1
Denver 6.06 77 1997 84.1 1110.4 51.8 21.9
San Francisco-Oaklan 6.04 75.7 3162 129.3 1738.1 24 46
Dallas-Fort Worth 6.04 77.4 1821 41.2 778.4 45.7 51.3
Miami 6.02 77.4 1542 119.1 1136.7 88.9 18.7
Atlanta 6.02 73.6 1074 32.3 582.9 39.9 26.6
Houston 5.99 76.3 1856 45.2 778.4 54.1 35.7
Seattle 5.91 72.5 3024 109.7 1186 31.1 17
New York 5.89 77.3 216 364.3 2582.4 11.9 7.3
Memphis 5.87 77.4 1350 111 613.6 27.4 11.3
New Orleans 5.85 72.4 1544 81 636.1 27.3 8.1
Cleveland 5.75 67 631 202.7 1346 24.6 10
Chicago 5.73 68.9 972 290.1 1626.8 20.1 9.4
Detroit 5.66 70.7 699 223.4 1049.6 24.7 31.7
Minneapolis-St Paul 5.66 69.8 1377 138.4 1289.3 28.8 19.7
Baltimore 5.63 72.9 399 125.4 836.3 22.9 8.6
Philadelphia 5.57 68.7 304 259.5 1315.3 18.3 18.7
Boston 5.28 67.8 0 428.2 2081 7.5 2

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