Question: 4. Suppose an investor observes a downward term structure of interest rate. (1) According to the expectation hypothesis, what will be the investor ' s

4. Suppose an investor observes a downward term structure of interest rate.

(1) According to the expectation hypothesis, what will be the investor

'

s forecast about

future change of interest rate (increase, decrease or unchanged)? Explain your argument.

(10 marks)

.

(2) What will the investor say about the future change of interest rate according to liquidity

preference theory? Explain your argument. (10 marks)

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