Question: 1 . Explain the trade - off between responsiveness and stability in a forecasting system that uses time - series data. 2 . Who needs
Explain the tradeoff between responsiveness and stability in a forecasting system that uses time
series data.
Who needs to be involved in preparing forecasts?
How has technology had an impact on forecasting?
It has been said that forecasting using exponential smoothing is like driving a car by looking in the
rearview mirror. What are the conditions that would have to exist for driving a car that are analo
gous to the assumptions made when using exponential smoothing?
What capability would an organization have to have to not need forecasts?
When a new business is started, or a patent idea needs funding, venture capitalists or investment
bankers will want to see a business plan that includes forecast information related to a profit and
loss statement. What type of forecasting information do you suppose would be required?
Discuss how you would manage a poor forecast.
Omar has heard from some of his customers that they will probably cut back on order sizes in the
next quarter. The company he works for has been reducing its salesforce due to falling demand, and
he worries that he could be next if his sales begin to fall off. Believing that he may be able to con
vince his customers not to cut back on orders, he turns in an optimistic forecast of his next quarter
sales to his manager. What are the pros and cons of doing that?
Give three examples of unethical conduct involving forecasting and the ethical principle each
violates.
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