1 . Your employer, a large MNC , has asked you to assess its transaction exposure. Its...
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Question:
Your employer, a large MNC has asked you to assess its transaction exposure. Its projected cash flows are as follows for the next year:
Currency
Total Inflow
Total Outflow
Current Exchange Rate in US Dollars
Swiss franc CHF
CHF
CHF
$
British pound
$
Assume that the movements in the Swiss franc and the pound are highly negatively correlated. Provide your assessment as to your firms degree of transaction exposure as to whether the exposure is high or low
Compare and contrast transaction exposure and economic exposure. Why would an MNC consider examining only its net cash flows in each currency when assessing its transaction exposure?
Horizon Co has net receivables in several currencies that are highly correlated with each other. What does this imply about the firms overall degree of transaction exposure? Are currency correlations perfectly stable over time? What does your answer imply about Horizon Co or any other firm using past data on correlations as an indicator for the future?
Why are the cash flows of a purely domestic firm exposed to exchange rate fluctuations?
Laney Co produces hospital equipment. Most of its revenues are in the United States. About half of its expenses require outflows in Mexican pesos to pay for Mexican materials Most of Laneys competition is from US firms that have no international business at all. How will Laney Co be affected if the peso strengthens?
Brown, Inc., exports chairs to Europe invoiced in US dollars and competes against local European companies. If purchasing power parity exists, why would Brown not benefit from a stronger euro?
Boston Coa US firm attempts to determine its economic
exposure to movements in the Swiss franc, by applying regression analysis to data over the last quarters:
SP b be u
where SP represents the percentage change in Bostons stock price per quarter, e represents the percentage change in the france exchange rate per quarter, and u is an error term. Based on the analysis, the b coefficient is zero and the b coefficient is and is statistically significant. Assume that interest rate parity exists. Today, the spot rate of the franc is $ the day Swiss interest rate is and the day US interest rate is Assume that the day forward rate is expected to be an accurate forecast of the future spot rate. Would you expect that Bostons value will be favorably affected, unfavorably affected, or not affected by its economic exposure over the next quarter? Explain.
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