Question: The California school data set from class actually contains the results on two tests: a math test and a reading test. You regress average

The California school data set from class actually contains the results on

The California school data set from class actually contains the results on two tests: a math test and a reading test. You regress average reading score (readscr) in each school district on the percent of students in the district who have English as a second language (elpet) and obtain: readser = 666.93 0.76elpet R = 0.4765, sa = 14.57 (0.01) (0.96) Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors are displayed in parentheses beneath each coefficient. You can assume that assumptions 2 and 3 of the OLS are satisfied. (a) Do you think that assumption 1 is satisfied for the proposed regression model? Argue. (b) Interpret the estimate of the slope coeficient 31. Does this estimate capture a causal effect? (c) If you were given another sample, would you expect to find a negative point estimate of 31? (Hint: First, try to generalize from the sample to the population. Then, answer the question) (d) Suppose you want to test for a positive relationship between the two variables with a 5% significance level. Can you use a symmetric 95% confidence interval to reach a conclusion about this test? If yes, construct the confidence interval and make a decision. If not, state the mull and alternative hypotheses you would use, compute the t-statistic, and draw a graph to show how you would calculate the p-value. (e) A policy-maker comes to you and asks you to evaluate the effects of a policy change which would increase clpct by 10 percent in each school district. Assume that the estimated coef- ficient reflects a causal effect and provide him with a range of predictions on the change in average reading score resulting from the policy change. Choose the range so that you have high-confidence that you are giving her the right answer.

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