1.Transcendent Technologies is deciding between developing complicated, thought-activated software, or simple, voice-activated software. The voice-activated software would cost $50 million to develop and has a 60% chance of being successfully launched and generating revenue of $100 million. The thought-activated software would be a bonanza if successful, generating $1 billion in revenue. But it is so complicated, it is projected to cost would be $400 million. How likely would success have to be for Transcendent Technologies to opt for the thought-activated software?

2. A buyer for a department store must decide on which designs the stores will carry before he knows what the demand will be in the coming season. Choosing a poorly demanded design means lots of unsold merchandise and losses that are $200,000 on average. Passing on a highly demanded design means unsold merchandise and missing out on profits that are $300,000 on average. What probability of a design's success should he be in order to choose to carry it?