Question: 2 0 1 E S 1 st St , Johnstown, CO 8 0 5 3 4 1 3 - unit multifamily Listed at $ 2

201 E S 1st St, Johnstown, CO 80534
13-unit multifamily
Listed at $2,400,000
NOI: $136,945
Pro Forma NOI: $157,859
Going-In Cap Rate: 5.71%
Pro Forma Cap Rate: 6.58%
Class C building, built in 1920, new roof in 2017, two new boilers (2021)
12 out of 13 units renovated
Step 1: Lock in the Investment Strategy
Our two best options:
Core Plus if we dont plan to use any major reinvestment cash, just ride the appreciation and maybe modestly improve OPEX/rents as tenants turn over.
Value Add if we justify using excess REIT cash to upgrade the final unit, expand basement storage income, or invest in light amenities (e.g., shared laundry, smart locks, etc.).
Rough Draft Decision: Go with Core Plus unless we can model value-add improvements that push NOI higher than $157,859. Keep this open in case we want to pivot.
Step 2: Rent Comp and Market Research
Goals:
Find average rents for 1BR,2BR, and 3BR units in Johnstown or similar towns in Weld County
Identify vacancy rates, expense ratios, and market appreciation/cap rate trends
Rough Draft Sources:
Rentometer.com
Zillow / Apartments.com listings in Johnstown
CoStar or public listings for similar 1020 unit apartments in Weld County
Weld County Assessor website for tax data
Target Rent Comps (to refine):
1BR: ~$1,250/month
2BR: ~$1,500/month
3BR: ~$1,700/month
Step 3: Build the 6-Year Pro Forma and Financial Model
Key metrics required:
Going-In Cap Rate (5.71%)
Terminal Cap Rate (estimate: 6.00%6.25%)
6-year BTCFs and ATCFs
Leveraged IRR (BTIRR, ATIRR)
Cash-on-Cash Return
Taxable income, tax assumptions (Marginal: 35%, Capital Gains: 20%)
Rough Draft Inputs:
Purchase price: $2,400,000
Down payment: 30%= $720,000
Loan: $1,680,000,25-year amortization, 7% interest, 5-year balloon
Sale price in year 5: use pro forma NOI x Terminal Cap Rate (Year 6 NOI /6.00% cap)
Expenses to sell: 7% of sales price
Expense growth: 3% annually
Rent growth: 2.53%
Roof exemption: No need to model roof replacement (done in 2017)
Well build all this in Excel across multiple tabs or one detailed sheet.
Step 4: Assign Team Roles
Each person picks a primary role:
Pro Forma + Excel Model Lead
Build out Year 16 income/expenses
Model sale in Year 6
Run IRRs and returns
Research + Rent Comps Lead
Get unit mix rents and OPEX comps
Justify assumptions in notes or citations
Slides + Visuals Lead
Create 2-slide PowerPoint
Add all required metrics to Slide 1
Make Slide 2 about Why the REIT should invest
Written Work Lead
One-page defense (strategy, assumptions, why this is best)
One-minute typed pitch

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