Question: 2. Suppose a portfolio manager creates a conditional PMF based on analyst ratings, X2, Analysts' ratings can take on three possible outcomes: an upgrade, X2

2. Suppose a portfolio manager creates a

2. Suppose a portfolio manager creates a conditional PMF based on analyst ratings, X2, Analysts' ratings can take on three possible outcomes: an upgrade, X2 =1; a downgrade, X2 = -1; or a neutral no change rating, X2=0. What is the conditional expectation of a return given an analyst upgrade and the following conditional distribution for fux (xs! X2 = 12 0% 4% Return -4% Probability 12.5% 23.5% 64.0% A. 2.06% B. 3.05% C. 4.40% D. 11.72%

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