Question: 2 . The operations manager for a local bus company wants to decide whether he should purchase a small, medium, or large new bus for

2. The operations manager for a local bus company wants to decide whether he should purchase
a small, medium, or large new bus for his company. He estimates that the annual profits
(in $000) will vary depending upon whether passenger demand is low, medium, or high, as
follows:
Demand
Low Medium High
Small 506070
Medium 408090
Large 2050120
in $ thousands.
REGRET Demand
Low Medium High
Small 02050
Medium 10030
Large 30300
in $ thousands.
a) If he uses the minimax regret, which size bus will he decide to purchase?
Max Regret ={50,30,30}, Minimax Regret
> Medium or Large
b) If he feels the chances of low, normal, and high precipitation are 30 percent, 20 percent,
and 50 percent respectively, What is the EVPI?

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