Question: 3 - 3 What is an alternative? What is a state of nature? 3 - 4 Discuss the differences among decision making under certainty, decision
What is an alternative? What is a state of nature?
Discuss the differences among decision making under certainty, decision making under risk, and decision making under uncertainty.
What techniques are used to solve decisionmaking problems under uncertainty? Which technique results in an optimistic decision? Which technique results in a pessimistic decision?
Define opportunity loss. What decisionmaking criteria are used with an opportunity loss table?
What information should be placed on a decision tree?
Describe how you would determine the best decision using the EMV criterion with a decision tree.
What is the difference between prior and posterior probabilities?
What is the purpose of Bayesian analysis? Describe how you would use Bayesian analysis in the decisionmaking process.
What is the EVSI? How is this computed?
How is the efficiency of sample information computed?
What is the overall purpose of utility theory?
Briefly discuss how a utility function can be assessed. What is a standard gamble, and how is it used in determining utility values?
How is a utility curve used in selecting the best decision for a particular problem?
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