Question: 3 - 3 What is an alternative? What is a state of nature? 3 - 4 Discuss the differences among decision making under certainty, decision

3-3 What is an alternative? What is a state of nature?
3-4 Discuss the differences among decision making under certainty, decision making under risk, and decision making under uncertainty.
3-5 What techniques are used to solve decision-making problems under uncertainty? Which technique results in an optimistic decision? Which technique results in a pessimistic decision?
3-6 Define opportunity loss. What decision-making criteria are used with an opportunity loss table?
3-7 What information should be placed on a decision tree?
3-8 Describe how you would determine the best decision using the EMV criterion with a decision tree.
3-9 What is the difference between prior and posterior probabilities?
3-10 What is the purpose of Bayesian analysis? Describe how you would use Bayesian analysis in the decision-making process.
3-11 What is the EVSI? How is this computed?
3-12 How is the efficiency of sample information computed?
3-13 What is the overall purpose of utility theory?
3-14 Briefly discuss how a utility function can be assessed. What is a standard gamble, and how is it used in determining utility values?
3-15 How is a utility curve used in selecting the best decision for a particular problem?

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