Question: 3. Question 3 1 pts An analyst estimates there is a probability of 22 percent that there will be a recession next year. He thinks

3.
3. Question 3 1 pts An analyst estimates there is a probability

Question 3 1 pts An analyst estimates there is a probability of 22 percent that there will be a recession next year. He thinks the probability of things being normal is three times the probability of a recession, with the remaining probability assigned to a boom taking place. A stock is expected to return -12 percent in a recession, 11 percent under normal conditions and 25 percent if there is a boom. What is the expected return (in percent) on this stock? Answer to two decimals, carry intermediate calcs. to four decimals. a

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