Question: 3. The two paths to the medium-run equilibrium explored in this chapter make two different assumptions about the formation of the level of expected inflation.

3. The two paths to the medium-run equilibrium explored in this chapter make two different assumptions about the formation of the level of expected inflation. One path assumes the level of expected inflation equals lagged inflation. The level of expected inflation changes over time. The other path assumes the level of expected inflation is anchored to a specific value and never changes. Begin in medium-run equilibrium where actual and expected inflation equals to 2% in period t. a. Suppose there is an increase in consumer confidence in period t + 1. How does the IS curve shift? Assume that the central bank does not change the real policy rate. How will the short-run equilibrium in period t + 1 compare to the equilibrium in period t? b. Consider the period t + 2 equilibrium under the assumption that If+2 = It+1. If the central bank leaves the real policy rate unchanged, how does actual inflation in period t + 2 compare to inflation in period t + 1? How must the central bank change the nominal policy rate to keep the real policy rate unchanged? Continue to period t + 3. Making the same assumption about the level of expected inflation and the real policy rate, how does actual inflation in period t + 3 compare to inflation in period t + 2
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