Question: [ 4 % ] Consider the following Covid network Answer the following questions ( up to 3 decimal points ) : ( 1 % )
Consider the following Covid network
Answer the following questions up to decimal points:
What is the probability of having Covid and getting a positive PCT test?
Pc p
Hint: Please review variable elimination slides as there is a variable here that needs to be eliminated ie summed out to calculate the above probability
What is the probability of not having Covid and getting a positive PCR test?
Pc p
Same hint as above applies
Conditional probability review What is the probability of having Covid given that the PCR test has been positive
Pc p
Hint: Conditional probability slides and formula review
Bayes theorem review: What is the probability of having Covid given that the Antigen test has been positive?
Pc a
Consider the following Bayes Net structure
List at least conditional independences from the above structure eg A
L B True or False
L T E True or False
L K E True or False
T K E X True or False
B M K True or False
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