Question: 4. Quarterly failure data for a certain aircraft engine at a local military base during the last two years are 200, 250, 175, 186, 225,

4. Quarterly failure data for a certain aircraft engine at a local military base during the last two years are 200, 250, 175, 186, 225, 285, 305, 190. Let l1 = D1, B1 = 10, and = = 0.1.

a. Apply one-step-ahead double exponential smoothing method (Holts method) to forecast failures for quarters 2 through 8. Calculate MAD.

b. Apply one-step-ahead double exponential smoothing method to forecast failures for quarter 9.

c. Apply three-step-ahead double exponential smoothing method to forecast failures for quarter 11.

d. Repeat part a using a damping parameter = 0.9. e. Repeat part c using a damping parameter = 0.9.

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