8. Hedging strategy to protect against falling prices Price fluctuations in commodities can have significant consequences...
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8. Hedging strategy to protect against falling prices Price fluctuations in commodities can have significant consequences for companies, especially if the fluctuation involves a prime raw material for a company. Different companies will adopt different strategies to manage the risk in price fluctuations, including adjusting the timing of their commodity purchases, maintaining a safety stock of their raw materials, and hedging. The company's cost of producing copper is about $3.95 per pound. The current market price for copper is $4.74 per pound. The six-month futures price for copper is $4.94 per pound. At this selling price, the company can maintain its earnings growth. The company expects to produce 500,000 pounds of copper in this six months. (Note: Copper futures are traded at a standard size of 250,000 pounds.) If the company does not hedge the copper it produces, it can expect to earn a total revenue of $2,470,000 If Hungry Whale places a hedge on its copper production in the futures market, it would sell 500 delivery price of $4.94 per pound to generate profits that maintain its desired earnings growth. at the end of six months. contracts for delivery in six months at a When the contract comes due in six months, the spot price of copper is $3.36 per pound in the cash markets. Prices on the new six-month futures contracts in copper are $4.20 per pound. Calculate the expected revenue in the following markets. Futures Market Net gain or loss in the futures market: $790,000 -$2,470,000 -$295,000 $2,100,000 Cash Market Net gain or loss in the cash market: -$295,000 $200,000 $370,000 -$2,100,000 The cost of production of copper is $1,975,000. Thus, Hungry Whale will gain in the futures market and lose in the cash market. This gain and loss offset each other, and the company benefits from placing the hedge. This hedging strategy would be referred to as a long hedge, and it helps protect the producer to sell a commodity against falling prices. 8. Hedging strategy to protect against falling prices Price fluctuations in commodities can have significant consequences for companies, especially if the fluctuation involves a prime raw material for a company. Different companies will adopt different strategies to manage the risk in price fluctuations, including adjusting the timing of their commodity purchases, maintaining a safety stock of their raw materials, and hedging. The company's cost of producing copper is about $3.95 per pound. The current market price for copper is $4.74 per pound. The six-month futures price for copper is $4.94 per pound. At this selling price, the company can maintain its earnings growth. The company expects to produce 500,000 pounds of copper in this six months. (Note: Copper futures are traded at a standard size of 250,000 pounds.) If the company does not hedge the copper it produces, it can expect to earn a total revenue of $2,470,000 If Hungry Whale places a hedge on its copper production in the futures market, it would sell 500 delivery price of $4.94 per pound to generate profits that maintain its desired earnings growth. at the end of six months. contracts for delivery in six months at a When the contract comes due in six months, the spot price of copper is $3.36 per pound in the cash markets. Prices on the new six-month futures contracts in copper are $4.20 per pound. Calculate the expected revenue in the following markets. Futures Market Net gain or loss in the futures market: $790,000 -$2,470,000 -$295,000 $2,100,000 Cash Market Net gain or loss in the cash market: -$295,000 $200,000 $370,000 -$2,100,000 The cost of production of copper is $1,975,000. Thus, Hungry Whale will gain in the futures market and lose in the cash market. This gain and loss offset each other, and the company benefits from placing the hedge. This hedging strategy would be referred to as a long hedge, and it helps protect the producer to sell a commodity against falling prices.
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