Question: A client explains that her firms value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon. Build a model to test her claim. NOPLAT,
A client explains that her firm’s value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon. Build a model to test her claim. NOPLAT, depreciation, and gross investment for year 1 have been forecasted to be $10.0, $2.5, and $13.61, respectively.
To evaluate your client’s claim, first assume a short horizon of three years.
Compare the results of this three-year horizon to a five-year forecasted horizon. The company’s management team forecasted ROIC for years 1-3 to be 18 percent and 11 percent after that period.
The company executives also forecasted NOPLAT to grow at 20 percent for years 1-3 and a decline to continuing growth rate of 7 percent thereafter. Depreciation in year t = 25% of NOPLAT in year t. Finally, the management
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The clients claim is plausible A shorter forecast horizon will result in a lower NOPLAT and R... View full answer
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