A client explains that her firms value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon.
Question:
A client explains that her firm’s value must be affected by the choice of explicit forecast horizon. Build a model to test her claim. NOPLAT, depreciation, and gross investment for year 1 have been forecasted to be $10.0, $2.5, and $13.61, respectively.
To evaluate your client’s claim, first assume a short horizon of three years.
Compare the results of this three-year horizon to a five-year forecasted horizon. The company’s management team forecasted ROIC for years 1-3 to be 18 percent and 11 percent after that period.
The company executives also forecasted NOPLAT to grow at 20 percent for years 1-3 and a decline to continuing growth rate of 7 percent thereafter. Depreciation in year t = 25% of NOPLAT in year t. Finally, the management
Principles of Corporate Finance
ISBN: 978-0072869460
7th edition
Authors: Richard A. Brealey, Stewart C. Myers