Question: A financial advisor has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (investment options) and states of nature (market conditions). states of nature

  1. A financial advisor has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (investment options) and states of nature (market conditions).

states of nature

(market conditions)

Alternatives

Good

Average

Poor

Gold

$103,000

$72,000

-$33,000

Mutual Funds

$156,000

$65,000

-$31,000

Bond

$39,000

$37,000

$25,000

If the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.30 for a good market, 0.60 for an average market, and 0.10 for a poor market, determine:

  1. the alternative that provides the greatest expected monetary value (EMV)
  2. the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)

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