Question: A manager has compiled estimated costs for various capacity alternatives but is reluctant to assign probabilities to the states of nature. Assuming the values in

A manager has compiled estimated costs for various capacity alternatives but is reluctant to assign probabilities to the states of nature. Assuming the values in the payoff table are estimated costs and the goal is to minimize expected costs.

STATE OF NATURE
#1 #2
A $ 35 * 160
Alternative B 136 96
C 110 69

*Cost in $ thousands. a. Is there any alternative that would never be appropriate in terms of minimizing expected cost?

multiple choice

  • Alternative A

  • Alternative B

  • Alternative C

  • None

b. For what range of P (2) would alternative A be the best choice if the goal is to minimize expected cost?

c. For what range of P (1) would alternative A be the best choice if the goal is to minimize expected cost?

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