A model that attracted quite a bit of interest in macroeconomics in the 1970s was the...
Fantastic news! We've Found the answer you've been seeking!
Question:
Transcribed Image Text:
A model that attracted quite a bit of interest in macroeconomics in the 1970s was the St. Louis model. The underlying idea was to calculate fiscal and monetary impact and long run cumulative dynamic multipliers, by relating output (growth) to government expenditure (growth) and money supply (growth). The assumption was that both government expenditures and the money supply were exogenous. Estimation of a St. Louis type model using quarterly data from 1960:1-1995:IV results in the following output (HAC standard errors in parenthesis): ygrowth = 0.018 + 0.006dmgrowth+ + 0.235dmgrowth-1 +0.344dmgrowth+-2 (0.004) (0.079) (0.091) (0.087) + 0.385dmgroth+-3 + 0.425mgrowth+-4 + 0.170dggrowth - 0.044dggrowth+-1 (0.097) (0.069) (0.049) -0.003dggrowth+-2 -0.079dggrowth+-3 + 0.018ggrowth +-4; (0.040) R2 0.346, SER=0.03 (0.051) (0.027) (0.068) where ygrowth is quarterly growth of real GDP, mgrowth is quarterly growth of real money supply (M2), and ggrowth is quarterly growth of real government expenditures. "d" in front of ggrowth and mgrowth indicates a change in the variable. a. Assuming that money and government expenditures are exogenous, what do the coefficients represent? Calculate the h-period cumulative dynamic multipliers from these (fill-in the table below). How can you test for the statistical significance of the cumulative dynamic multipliers and the long- run cumulative dynamic multiplier? Lag number Monetary Monetary Fiscal Fiscal Cumulative Cumulative Dynamic Dynamic Multiplier Multiplier Multiplier Multiplier 0 1 2 3 4 Question 3 10 pts Your textbook states that there "are three ways to decide if two variables can plausibly be modeled as cointegrated: use expert knowledge and economic theory, graph the series and see whether they appear to have a common stochastic trend, and perform statistical tests for cointegration. All three ways should be used in practice." Accordingly you set out to check whether (the log of) consumption and (the log of) personal disposable income are cointegrated. You collect data for the sample period 1962:1 to 1995:IV and plot the two variables. 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 RCONS RYDP a. Using the first two methods to examine the series for cointegration, what do you think the likely answer is? A model that attracted quite a bit of interest in macroeconomics in the 1970s was the St. Louis model. The underlying idea was to calculate fiscal and monetary impact and long run cumulative dynamic multipliers, by relating output (growth) to government expenditure (growth) and money supply (growth). The assumption was that both government expenditures and the money supply were exogenous. Estimation of a St. Louis type model using quarterly data from 1960:1-1995:IV results in the following output (HAC standard errors in parenthesis): ygrowth = 0.018 + 0.006dmgrowth+ + 0.235dmgrowth-1 +0.344dmgrowth+-2 (0.004) (0.079) (0.091) (0.087) + 0.385dmgroth+-3 + 0.425mgrowth+-4 + 0.170dggrowth - 0.044dggrowth+-1 (0.097) (0.069) (0.049) -0.003dggrowth+-2 -0.079dggrowth+-3 + 0.018ggrowth +-4; (0.040) R2 0.346, SER=0.03 (0.051) (0.027) (0.068) where ygrowth is quarterly growth of real GDP, mgrowth is quarterly growth of real money supply (M2), and ggrowth is quarterly growth of real government expenditures. "d" in front of ggrowth and mgrowth indicates a change in the variable. a. Assuming that money and government expenditures are exogenous, what do the coefficients represent? Calculate the h-period cumulative dynamic multipliers from these (fill-in the table below). How can you test for the statistical significance of the cumulative dynamic multipliers and the long- run cumulative dynamic multiplier? Lag number Monetary Monetary Fiscal Fiscal Cumulative Cumulative Dynamic Dynamic Multiplier Multiplier Multiplier Multiplier 0 1 2 3 4 Question 3 10 pts Your textbook states that there "are three ways to decide if two variables can plausibly be modeled as cointegrated: use expert knowledge and economic theory, graph the series and see whether they appear to have a common stochastic trend, and perform statistical tests for cointegration. All three ways should be used in practice." Accordingly you set out to check whether (the log of) consumption and (the log of) personal disposable income are cointegrated. You collect data for the sample period 1962:1 to 1995:IV and plot the two variables. 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 RCONS RYDP a. Using the first two methods to examine the series for cointegration, what do you think the likely answer is?
Expert Answer:
Posted Date:
Students also viewed these economics questions
-
Maria Am Corporation uses the weighted-average method in its process costing system. The Baking Department is one of the processing departments in its strudel manufacturing facility. In June in the...
-
This question asks you to study whether unanticipated declines in the money stock tend to raise interest rates and lead to recessions, as implied by the misperceptions theory. a. Using quarterly data...
-
Let be an arbitrary operation in Problems 5259. Describe the operation for each problem. 503 = 2; 702= 5; 901 = 8; 8 0 2 = 6;
-
How can exchange rates change to reduce wage differences between countries?
-
Propose products (if any) and mechanisms for the following ClCl3 reactions: (a) Chlorocyclohexane with benzene (b) Methyl chloride with anisole (c) 3-chloro-2, 2-dimethylbutane with isopropylbenzene
-
What are the functions in (a) executing, (b) recording, and (c) custody of payroll transactions?
-
Aaron Corporation is projecting a cash balance of $30,000 in its December 31, 2013, balance sheet. Aarons schedule of expected collections from customers for the first quarter of 2014 shows total...
-
CONTEXT Agridex Industries has grown out of the amalgamation of more than twenty small-scale producers of pork. Originally, each of the companies operated independently, and established its own...
-
a) Let A1, A2,..., An be a finite collection of subsets of 2 such that Ai Fo (an algebra), 1
-
Form a correlation matrix and a variance-covariance matrix from the excess returns of the three stocks and the Russell 1000. Calculate betas for all three of the stocks in two ways: (i) using the...
-
Croton Enterprises has worked out the activities, duration, and predecessors for its new project to create a new drink for the local Trinidad and Tobago market and for export to the Caribbean market....
-
Creative Systems Co. ("Creative") is a privately held corporation specializing in learning management systems solutions in the digital environment. Their proposed solutions, similar to Blackboard,...
-
Expanding Working Hours Alma Cafe is considering expanding their opening hours on Saturdays by 3 hours. The caf is usually open from 8am to 6pm, but there's potential for additional revenue if we...
-
Diamond and Turf Inc. is considering an investment in one of two machines. The sewing machine will increase productivity from sewing 160 baseballs per hour to sewing 288 per hour. The contribution...
-
Write a paper about Maasai culture 1. What are typical foods served in the culture? 2. Are there any typical styles of dress? 3. What do people do for recreation? 4. Do buildings have identifiable...
-
Without solving, determine the character of the solutions of each equation in the complex number system. 3x 2 3x + 4 = 0
-
Is the word anxiety a candidate for creating a stable pattern? If so, give reasons.
-
Define the real meaning of anxiety. What are the different meanings of this word?
-
Do you agree to the suggestion that anxiety pattern is applicable to all domains where it plays a major role?
Study smarter with the SolutionInn App