Question: A process may go wrong in two ways, call them A or B. Both these ways are equally likely. If the cause is A then
A process may go wrong in two ways, call them A or B. Both these ways are equally likely. If the cause is A then it causes a loss of Rs.100,000 to the company if it is not repaired. If it is repaired, there is 60% chance of restricting the loss to Rs.40,000 and a 40% chance of restricting the loss to Rs.70,000. If the cause is B then the repairing operation has no effect and the loss to the company would be Rs.80,000. Repairing costs Rs.25,000.
- If the cause of the process going wrong is A, and the process is repaired, then what would the net loss to the company?
- If the process goes wrong, does it make sense to go for repairs?
- What is the maximum value of the probability of the process going wrong because of A for which will your answer to the second part remain the same? (Currently that value is 50%)
- Suppose there is a test that can identify whether the cause of the process fault is A or B. What is the maximum amount of money that you would pay for the test?
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