Question: A production line has three machines A , B , and C , with reliabilities of 0 . 9 9 , 0 . 9 6

A production line has three machines A, B, and C, with reliabilities of 0.99,0.96, and 0.93,
respectively. The machines are arranged so that if one breaks down, the others must shut down.
Engineers are weighing two alternative designs for increasing the lines reliability. Plan 1 involves
adding an identical backup line (i.e., a series backup), and Plan 2 involves providing a backup for
each machine (i.e., a parallel backup). In either case, three additional machines(A, B, and C) would
be used with reliabilities equal to the original three.
a. Which plan will provide higher reliability?
b. Explain why the two reliabilities are not the same.
c. What other factors might enter into the decision of which plan to adopt?
d. Assume that a single switch is used in Plan 1 to transfer production to the backup line if the
first line fails, and this switch is 98 percent reliable, while reliabilities of the machines remain
the same. Recalculate the reliability of Plan 1. Compare this reliability with the reliability of
Plan 1 calculated in solving the original problem. How much did reliability of Plan 1 decrease
as a result of a 98 percent reliable switch?
e. Assume that three switches are used in Plan 2 to transfer production to the backup machines if
the original machines fail, and these switches are all 98 percent reliable, while reliabilities of
the machines remain the same. Recalculate the reliability of Plan 2. Compare the reliability of
this plan with the reliability of Plan 2 calculated in solving the original problem. How much
did reliability of Plan 2 decrease?

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