A risk-neutral firm believes that the probability of a harmful cyberattack (see the Mini-Case Risk of a
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Question:
A risk-neutral firm believes that the probability of a harmful cyberattack (see the Mini-Case “Risk of a Cyberattack”) is 25%. It expects to make a profit of $200 million if no attack occurs and $120 million if it is attacked. The firm can spend $5 million to increase its electronic defenses, which reduces the probability of a successful cyberattack to 10%. Use a decision tree similar to Figure to assess whether the firm should make this investment.
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