A simple desicion$-$making model with maximalization criteria is given.

State $1$

State $2$

State $3$

State $4$

Alternative $1$

$12$

$15$

$20$

$5$

Alternative $2$

$-5$

$5$

$10$

$15$

Alternative$3$

$10$

$-5$

$20$

$30$

p

$0,4$

$0,3$

$0,2$

$0,1$

Based on Laplace criterion $($principle of insufficient reason$)$ we select:

$$loha $3$ Vyberte jednu z nab$$zen$$ch mo$$nost$$:

the second alternative with profit $6,25$

the third alternative with profit $13,75$

the first alternative with profit $13$