Question: Alibabar recently established the Damo Artificial Intelligence Centre ( DAIC ) . The DAIC is considering 3 programs: AI in Logistics ( AIL ) ;

Alibabar recently established the Damo Artificial Intelligence Centre (DAIC). The DAIC is
considering 3 programs: AI in Logistics (AIL); AI in Finance (AIF) and a medical technology venture,
Damo Electronic (DE). The eventual cost associated with each of these sectors will differ
depending on the developmental climate. Alibabar wishes to identify a program to invest in which
minimizes the development costs. They have estimated the cost of development (in $million)
under various developmental climates for the three industry sectors as follows:
Development Costs
($ million)
Developmental Climates
CONSERVATIVE MATURE AGGRESSIVE
AI in Logistics 8.76.65.4
AI in Finance 9.37.28.1
Damo Electronic 8.47.26.3
Determine the best sector for investing in using the following decision criteria:
Optimistic decision criteria
Pessimistic decision criteria
Equal likelihood criteria
Alibabar engaged the services of an AI Management Consultancy (MC) to project the chances of
a Conservative Developmental Climate to be 50%, that of Mature Climate to be 20% and
Aggressive Developmental Climate to be 30%. The AI MC engagement costs Alibabar $160,000.
With the AI MCs estimates, what is the decision which minimizes the expected regret? Show the
regret table and evaluate the minimum expected regret. Was the investment by Alibabar
worthwhile? Explain your assessment

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