Question: Alternatives State A (25%) State B (25%) State C (50%) Project 1 5000 7500 9000 Project 2 10000 8500 5500 Examine the table of costs

Alternatives

State A (25%)

State B (25%)

State C (50%)

Project 1

5000

7500

9000

Project 2

10000

8500

5500

Examine the table of costs for company ABC above. Given this information, please answer the following questions.

  • If ABC follows the Optimistic criteria for decision making and the probabilities listed were not known, which project would they choose and what value would they expect?
  • If ABC follows the Pessimistic criteria for decision making and the probabilities listed were not known, which project would they choose and what value would they expect?
  • What is the Expected Monetary Value for Project 1, given the probabilities listed for the three states of the world?
  • What is the Expected Monetary Value for Project 2, given the probabilities listed for the three states of the world? (continued)
  • Which project would ABC take if they used the EMV criteria?

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