) An important part of planning manufacturing capacity is having a good forecast of sales. You are...
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Question:
- ) An important part of planning manufacturing capacity is having a good forecast of sales. You are interested in forecasting sales of tractors in each marketing region to assess future changes in market share. Please visualize the historical sales data in the Tractor Unit Salesworksheet for each region, describe the time series for each region from the four components of time series, and identify the most appropriate forecasting model for each region. You do need to show the charts.
- What are the four components of time series?
- North America
- South America
- Europe
- Pacific Rim
- China
- World
Tractor Unit Sales | |||||||
Month | NA | SA | Eur | Pacific | China | World | |
Jan-14 | 570 | 250 | 560 | 212 | 0 | 1592 | |
Feb-14 | 611 | 270 | 600 | 230 | 0 | 1711 | |
Mar-14 | 630 | 260 | 680 | 240 | 0 | 1810 | |
Apr-14 | 684 | 270 | 650 | 263 | 0 | 1867 | |
May-14 | 650 | 280 | 580 | 269 | 0 | 1779 | |
Jun-14 | 600 | 270 | 590 | 280 | 0 | 1740 | |
Jul-14 | 512 | 264 | 760 | 290 | 0 | 1826 | |
Aug-14 | 500 | 280 | 645 | 270 | 0 | 1695 | |
Sep-14 | 478 | 290 | 650 | 263 | 0 | 1681 | |
Oct-14 | 455 | 280 | 670 | 258 | 0 | 1663 | |
Nov-14 | 407 | 290 | 888 | 240 | 0 | 1825 | |
Dec-14 | 360 | 280 | 850 | 230 | 0 | 1720 | |
Jan-15 | 571 | 320 | 620 | 250 | 0 | 1761 | |
Feb-15 | 650 | 350 | 760 | 275 | 0 | 2035 | |
Mar-15 | 740 | 390 | 742 | 270 | 0 | 2142 | |
Apr-15 | 840 | 440 | 780 | 280 | 0 | 2340 | |
May-15 | 830 | 470 | 690 | 290 | 0 | 2280 | |
Jun-15 | 760 | 490 | 721 | 300 | 0 | 2271 | |
Jul-15 | 681 | 481 | 680 | 312 | 0 | 2154 | |
Aug-15 | 670 | 460 | 711 | 305 | 0 | 2146 | |
Sep-15 | 640 | 460 | 695 | 290 | 0 | 2085 | |
Oct-15 | 620 | 440 | 650 | 260 | 0 | 1970 | |
Nov-15 | 570 | 436 | 680 | 250 | 0 | 1936 | |
Dec-15 | 533 | 420 | 657 | 240 | 0 | 1850 | |
Jan-16 | 620 | 510 | 610 | 250 | 10 | 2000 | |
Feb-16 | 792 | 590 | 680 | 250 | 12 | 2324 | |
Mar-16 | 890 | 610 | 730 | 260 | 20 | 2510 | |
Apr-16 | 960 | 600 | 820 | 270 | 22 | 2672 | |
May-16 | 1040 | 620 | 810 | 290 | 20 | 2780 | |
Jun-16 | 1032 | 640 | 807 | 310 | 24 | 2813 | |
Jul-16 | 1006 | 590 | 760 | 340 | 20 | 2716 | |
Aug-16 | 910 | 600 | 720 | 320 | 31 | 2581 | |
Sep-16 | 803 | 670 | 660 | 313 | 30 | 2476 | |
Oct-16 | 730 | 630 | 630 | 290 | 37 | 2317 | |
Nov-16 | 699 | 710 | 603 | 280 | 32 | 2324 | |
Dec-16 | 647 | 570 | 570 | 260 | 33 | 2080 | |
Jan-17 | 730 | 650 | 500 | 287 | 35 | 2202 | |
Feb-17 | 930 | 680 | 590 | 290 | 50 | 2540 | |
Mar-17 | 1160 | 724 | 620 | 300 | 63 | 2867 | |
Apr-17 | 1510 | 730 | 730 | 310 | 68 | 3348 | |
May-17 | 1650 | 760 | 740 | 330 | 70 | 3550 | |
Jun-17 | 1490 | 800 | 720 | 340 | 82 | 3432 | |
Jul-17 | 1460 | 840 | 670 | 350 | 80 | 3400 | |
Aug-17 | 1390 | 830 | 610 | 341 | 90 | 3261 | |
Sep-17 | 1360 | 820 | 599 | 330 | 100 | 3209 | |
Oct-17 | 1340 | 810 | 560 | 320 | 102 | 3132 | |
Nov-17 | 1240 | 827 | 550 | 300 | 110 | 3027 | |
Dec-17 | 1103 | 750 | 520 | 290 | 114 | 2777 | |
Jan-18 | 1250 | 780 | 480 | 200 | 111 | 2821 | |
Feb-18 | 1550 | 805 | 523 | 210 | 121 | 3209 | |
Mar-18 | 1820 | 830 | 560 | 220 | 123 | 3553 | |
Apr-18 | 2010 | 890 | 570 | 230 | 120 | 3820 | |
May-18 | 2230 | 930 | 590 | 253 | 130 | 4133 | |
Jun-18 | 2490 | 980 | 600 | 270 | 136 | 4476 | |
Jul-18 | 2440 | 1002 | 580 | 280 | 134 | 4436 | |
Aug-18 | 2334 | 970 | 570 | 250 | 132 | 4256 | |
Sep-18 | 2190 | 960 | 550 | 230 | 137 | 4067 | |
Oct-18 | 2080 | 930 | 530 | 220 | 130 | 3890 | |
Nov-18 | 2050 | 920 | 517 | 190 | 139 | 3816 | |
Dec-18 | 2004 | 902 | 490 | 190 | 131 | 3717 |
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