Apply a regression based forecasting model using the attendance from 1997 2002 (i e , not rolling regression ) to generate predictions for each month of 2003 that accounts for both (1) the general downward trend in attendance and (2) seasonality Compute the mean absolute deviation (MAD) of the forecast errors for 2003 (please round to the closest whole number) Year Month Attendance Phantom Of The Opera 1997 1 48241 1997 2 47442 1997 3 61929 1997 4 49939 1997 5 49103 1997 6 62617 1997 7 48731 1997 8 63147 1997 9 44623 1997 10 47854 1997 11 58117 1997 12 49582 1998 1 48411 1998 2 49184 1998 3 62259 1998 4 48761 1998 5 58877 1998 6 48727 1998 7 47831 1998 8 59759 1998 9 42394 1998 10 48289 1998 11 58828 1998 12 49151 1999 1 58816 1999 2 44063 1999 3 45694 1999 4 48395 1999 5 57039 1999 6 47076 1999 7 45297 1999 8 59088 1999 9 40147 1999 10 55407 1999 11 43413 1999 12 44463 2000 1 52690 2000 2 45973 2000 3 48846 2000 4 61591 2000 5 44835 2000 6 44924 2000 7 53819 2000 8 44785 2000 9 37398 2000 10 50258 2000 11 41547 2000 12 53517 2001 1 45223 2001 2 44576 2001 3 45542 2001 4 60163 2001 5 42162 2001 6 43490 2001 7 54132 2001 8 45279 2001 9 33231 2001 10 36014 2001 11 34536 2001 12 48928 2002 1 39885 2002 2 42887 2002 3 55723 2002 4 39980 2002 5 36962 2002 6 50719 2002 7 45134 2002 8 46564 2002 9 43494 2002 10 37235 2002 11 35313 2002 12 52173 2003 1 36906 2003 2 32260 2003 3 44107 2003 4 43868 2003 5 39131 2003 6 55393 2003 7 46245 2003 8 56991 2003 9 34464 2003 10 42106 2003 11 50085 2003 12 41936

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Question: Apply a regression-based forecasting model using the attendance from 1997-2002 (i.e., not rolling regression) to generate predictions for each month of 2003 that accounts for

Apply a regression-based forecasting model using the attendance from 1997-2002 (i.e., not "rolling regression") to generate predictions for each month of 2003 that accounts for both:

(1) the general downward trend in attendance and (2) seasonality. Compute the mean absolute deviation (MAD) of the forecast errors for 2003. (please round to the closest whole number)

Year	Month	Attendance: Phantom Of The Opera
1997	1	48241
1997	2	47442
1997	3	61929
1997	4	49939
1997	5	49103
1997	6	62617
1997	7	48731
1997	8	63147
1997	9	44623
1997	10	47854
1997	11	58117
1997	12	49582
1998	1	48411
1998	2	49184
1998	3	62259
1998	4	48761
1998	5	58877
1998	6	48727
1998	7	47831
1998	8	59759
1998	9	42394
1998	10	48289
1998	11	58828
1998	12	49151
1999	1	58816
1999	2	44063
1999	3	45694
1999	4	48395
1999	5	57039
1999	6	47076
1999	7	45297
1999	8	59088
1999	9	40147
1999	10	55407
1999	11	43413
1999	12	44463
2000	1	52690
2000	2	45973
2000	3	48846
2000	4	61591
2000	5	44835
2000	6	44924
2000	7	53819
2000	8	44785
2000	9	37398
2000	10	50258
2000	11	41547
2000	12	53517
2001	1	45223
2001	2	44576
2001	3	45542
2001	4	60163
2001	5	42162
2001	6	43490
2001	7	54132
2001	8	45279
2001	9	33231
2001	10	36014
2001	11	34536
2001	12	48928
2002	1	39885
2002	2	42887
2002	3	55723
2002	4	39980
2002	5	36962
2002	6	50719
2002	7	45134
2002	8	46564
2002	9	43494
2002	10	37235
2002	11	35313
2002	12	52173
2003	1	36906
2003	2	32260
2003	3	44107
2003	4	43868
2003	5	39131
2003	6	55393
2003	7	46245
2003	8	56991
2003	9	34464
2003	10	42106
2003	11	50085
2003	12	41936

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