As investors go increasingly global and market turbulence grows, stock-index futures are emerging as the favorite way
Question:
As investors go increasingly global and market turbulence grows, stock-index futures are emerging as the favorite way for nimble money managers to deploy their funds. Indeed, in most major markets, trading in stock futures now exceeds the buying and selling of actual shares.
For instance, by selling futures equal to the underlying portfolio, a manager can completely insulate a portfolio from market moves. Say a manager succeeds in outperforming the market, but still loses 2.75% while the market as a whole falls 12%.Hedging with futures would capture that margin of out-performance, transforming the loss into a profit of roughly 9.25%.You are provided the information outlined as follows
Issue
Price
Yield to Maturity
US Treasury bond 15 4/5% maturing 3 July, 2030
1000
15.8%
US Treasury long bond futures contract(contract expiration in 8 months)
65
15.9%
Airbus bond 16 11/20% maturing 3 July, 2025(sinking fund debenture, rated AAA)
95
17.55%
Volatility of AAA corporate bond yields relative to US Treasury bond yields = 1.35 to 1.0 (1.35 times).
One US Treasury bonds futures contract is a claim on $ 1,000,000 par value long-term US Treasury bonds.
Scenario 1: A fixed-income manager holding a $25 million market value position of US Treasury 15 4/5% bonds maturing 3 July, 2030, expects the economic growth rate and the inflation rate to be above market expectations in the near future. Institutional rigidities prevent any existing bonds in the portfolio from being sold in the cash market
Scenario 2: The treasurer of Airbus has recently become convinced that interest rates will decline in the near future. She believes it is an opportune time to purchase her company's sinking fund bonds in advance of requirements because these bonds are trading at a discount from par value. She is preparing to purchase in the open market $25 million par value Airbus 16 11/20% bonds maturing 3 July, 2025. A $25 million par value position of these bonds is currently offered in the open market at 95.Unfortunately, the treasurer must obtain approval from the board of directors for such a purchase, and this approval process can take up to 3 months. The board of director's approval in this instance is only a formality.
(i) Explain to the management of Airbus how interest rate and currency swaps work.[5 marks]
(ii) For each of these two scenarios, demonstrate how interest rate risk can be hedged using the Treasury bond futures contract. Show all calculations.[10 marks]