As of October 24, 2022, Walmarts stock price is $139.41 per share. To assess whether the stock
Question:
As of October 24, 2022, Walmart’s stock price is $139.41 per share.
To assess whether the stock is over/undervalued, we aim to estimate the share price using Discounted FreeCash Flow approach.
Following is Walmart’s sales forecast for the next four years along with the current year of 2022.
Year | 2022 (Current year) | 2023 (year 1) | 2024 (year 2) | 2025 (year 3) | 2026 (year 4) |
Sales (Millions) | $606,060 | $623,750 | $644,210 | $657,600 | $677,980 |
In addition, based on Walmart’s past profitability and investment needs, we assume the followings:
•EBIT is 4.7% of sales.
•Tax rate is 28.5% of EBIT.
•Net Working Capital (NWC) is required to be 1.8% of sales.
•Capital expenditure is expected to be 2.4% of sales.
•Depreciation is expected to be 1.9% of sales.
(a) To estimate free cash flows (FCF) for years 1 through 4, fill in the following table.
Year1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | |
Sales | ||||
Depreciation | ||||
EBIT | ||||
Taxes | ||||
CapEx | ||||
NWC | ||||
NWC | ||||
FCF |
(b) After year 4 (the year 2026), both sales revenue and free cash flows are expected to grow at a long-run rate of 3% every year forever. The firm-specific discount rate is 7%. What is the enterprise value today?
(c) In the current balance sheet, the firm has $14,760 million in cash, $152,969 million in debt, and 2,761 million shares outstanding. What is the share price?
(d) Suppose that the long-run growth rate in part (b) is 3.5% rather than 3% per year. With this growth rate, how much would a share be worth? (Other than the growth rate, there is no change in the discount rate and balance-sheet items).
Financial reporting, financial statement analysis and valuation a strategic perspective
ISBN: 978-0324789416
7th Edition
Authors: James M Wahlen, Stephen P Baginskl, Mark T Bradshaw