Question: B C D E F G H 1 J K M N R S T Sales have plateaued at your firm because production is constrained

B C D E F G H 1 J K M N R S T Sales have

B C D E F G H 1 J K M N R S T Sales have plateaued at your firm because production is constrained by plant capacity. To solve this problem, you have identified four alteratives. These alternatives are subject to market effects. Your economist believes that there are five reasonable market scenarios. Alternatives, economic scenarios and incremental profit over the planning period is shown in the table. Very Poor Poor Neutral Good Very Good 0 0 0 0 0 -99 8 1098 1014 1009 -434 -45 522 1503 1624 -949 -418 110 1203 2448 0.11 0.22 0.37 0.25 0.05 Current Expansion Build Second Plant Build Large Second Plant Probabilities 1. What is the EMV of each alternative? Based on this analysis, what is the best decision? 2. Assume that the probabilities given are not reliable, then compute the criteria below and give the best decision for each. Maximin Maximax Equally likely (Laplace) Minimax regret 3. Based on your analysis in 1 and 2, what do you recommend? Defend your

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