Question: (b) Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. If required, round your answers to two
| (b) | Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. |
| If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
| MSE: | |
| The forecast for month 8: | |
| (c) | Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. |
| If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
| MSE: | |
| The forecast for month 8: | |
| (d) | Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE? |
| - Select your answer -3-month moving averageexponential smoothingItem 7 | |
| (e) | Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient that results in the smallest MSE. |
| Do not round intermediate calculations. Use a two-decimal digit precision for the exponential smoothing coefficient. | |
| = |
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