Question: Based on what you have studied decision analysis theory, solve the following problem: State of Nature Alternatives Favorable Unfavorable Construct Large firm 400 000 -

Based on what you have studied decision analysis theory, solve the following problem:

State of Nature

Alternatives

Favorable

Unfavorable

Construct Large firm

400 000

- 380 000

Construct Small firm

200 000

- 40 000

Do nothing

0

0

Probabilities

0.5

0.5

From the table above solve the following questions:

  1. What is the criterion of realism? Use value of 0.8
  2. Develop an opportunity loss table and determine the mini-max regret decision.
  3. Find the Expected Monetary value under risk with probability(0.5).

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