Question: Below is a set of Holt-Winters method calculations for predicting truck sales: m=1, alpha=0.2 beta=0.3, gamma=.7. There is annual seasonality (a season is 12 months).

  1. Below is a set of Holt-Winter’s method calculations for predicting truck sales: m=1, alpha=0.2 beta=0.3, gamma=.7. There is annual seasonality (a season is 12 months).

YearPeriodMonthDtLtTtStFt
202022Jan16249.018688.318.00.8719335.2
23Feb18867.017687.113.31.0722415.0
24Mar23857.016454.77.51.4529988.3
25Apr16828.017166.010.70.9814968.6
26May19062.018379.616.41.0415839.7
27Jun22724.019490.321.51.1719375.6
28Jul15320.021071.628.70.7312432.7
29Aug16936.022305.534.40.7614525.7
30Sept21986.021730.331.51.0123878.8
31Oct30998.022144.733.31.4029490.8
32Nov22359.021725.931.21.0323766.3
33Dec20860.023017.737.10.9117854.7
202134Jan24057.024642.944.50.9820045.5
35Feb23506.023774.740.20.9926334.3
36Mar27985.033.01.2634528.4
37Apr24416.023193.537.21.0521855.4
38May24262.023286.737.41.0424093.2
39Jun29924.024130.241.21.2427194.0
40Jul21738.026143.050.40.8317573.7
41Aug20417.026433.251.50.7719887.9
42Sept33280.028690.661.81.1626796.3
43Oct35817.027662.956.71.2940247.5
44Nov26057.026893.452.90.9728527.3
45Dec23742.026688.60.8924420.2
202246Jan26259.026794.851.90.9826104.5
47Feb23995.025959.547.80.9226543.2
48Mar28421.024837.342.31.1432693.9
49Apr22357.023625.936.50.9526190.9
50May23488.023277.434.71.0124653.4
51Jun29631.023512.335.61.2628909.4
52Jul20594.023967.637.60.8619580.2
53Aug20051.024677.940.70.8118541.6
54Sept27466.024360.539.01.1328672.6
55Oct34778.025246.743.031591.7
56Nov25839.025764.245.21.0024503.2
57Dec23053.025845.545.40.8922959.9
202358Jan


  1. Calculate L36
  2. Calculate T45
  3. Calculate S55
  4. Forecast January 2023.

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