Question: Calculate confidence intervals at the 95% level using the Penn State football championship voting 80/20 split examples on Page 2 and use samples of 50,
Calculate confidence intervals at the 95% level using the Penn State football championship voting 80/20 split examples on Page 2 and use samples of 50, 500, 2000, and 5000 to see the point of diminishing returns for yourself.
1.n = 50
80 x 20=1600= 32, square root of = 5.66, rounded to 6
5050
95 % confidence level = 6 x 2 = 12
95% confidence intervals =
80+12= 68% - 92% of the population responds 'Yes'
20+12= 8% - 32% of the population responds 'No'
2.n = 500
80 x 20=1600= 3.2, square root of = 1.79, rounded to 2
500500
95 % confidence level = 2 x 2 = 4
95% confidence intervals =
80+4= 76% - 84% of the population responds 'Yes'
20+4= 16% - 24% of the population responds 'No'
3.n = 2000
80 x 20=1600= 0.8, square root of = 0.89
20002000
95 % confidence level = 0.89 x 2 = 1.78
95% confidence intervals =
80+1.78= 78.22% - 81.78% of the population responds 'Yes'
20+1.78= 18.22% - 21.78% of the population responds 'No'
4.n = 5000
80 x 20=1600= 0.32, square root of = 0.57
50005000
95 % confidence level = 0.57 x 2 = 1.14
95% confidence intervals =
80+1.14= 78.86% - 81.14% of the population responds 'Yes'
20+1.14= 18.86% - 21.14% of the population responds 'No'
Calculate confidence intervals around the P and Q percentages using the following sample data:
1. P = 75% , Q = 25% n= 678 @ 95% level of confidence
P x Q=75 x 25=1875= 2.77, square root of=1.66( rounded to 2)
N678678
2 x 2 = 4%
95% interval = 75% +/- 4%=71% - 79%
25% +/- 4%=21% - 29%
2.P = 75%, Q = 25% n= 35 @ 95% level of confidence
75 x 25=1875=53.6, square root of=7.32(rounded to 7)
3535
7 x 2 = 14%
95% interval = 75% +/- 14% =61% - 89%
25% +/- 14% =11% - 39%
3.P = 52%, Q = 48% n= 678 @ 99% level of confidence
52 x 48=2496=3.68, square root of=1.92(rounded to 2)
678678
2 x 3 = 6%
99% interval = 52% +/- 6% = 46% - 58%
48% +/- 6% = 42% - 54%
Why would rounding the figures to the integer for the first two questions, and then to the nearest hundredths for the next two? Please give a justification. I'm having a hard time understanding this.
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