Question: Calculate the expected return for two possible outcomes for the economy next year: recession and recovery Suppose for this example that we forecast a 81%
Calculate the expected return for two possible outcomes for the economy next year: recession and recovery
Suppose for this example that we forecast a 81% chance of recession over the next year
Lets suppose that we forecast that in a recession the firms return will be 6.4% and that in recovery the firms return will be 29.27%
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