Question: Can I get some help for iv only please? subject: quantitative techniques (c) The operations manager of a bus company that operates between Port Louis

Can I get some help for iv only please? Can I get some help for iv only please? subject:
subject: quantitative techniques
(c) The operations manager of a bus company that operates between Port Louis and Mahebourg is debating whether to add one or two early morning bus to the company's current schedule. The company management has calculated that 25 people must use this route each day for the company to break even. Management feels that there is a 30% chance that fewer than 50 people will use the route and 70% chance that 25 people or more will use the route. The following payoff values (in rupees) were developed over a one-month period and summarized in the table below. Payoff values in Rs Demand for early morning route Decision Fewer than 25 people use 25 people or more use the route the route Add one bus -500 8,000 Add two bus -3,000 4,500 Do not add bus 0 0 i) Determine management's optimal decision using (a) Maximax criterion [%] (b) Maximin criterion [%] (c) Equally likely criterion [%] (d) As the manager, you are realist and believe that the correct decision technique to determine the best alternative is to use a coefficient of realism of 0.85, calculate your criterion of realism. [%] ) Determine the optimal decision if management was to use the expected monetary value criterion? [2] 2. i) Calculate the expected opportunity loss for each decision, and hence determine management's optimal decision. [2] iv) The bus company considers hiring a private consulting firm to conduct a study to obtain a better estimate of the demand for this early morning route. Determine the amount that the bus company should be willing to pay for this study. Do you think it would be worth trying to obtain additional information concerning which scenario is likely to occur? [4]

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