Question: Can you please explain how the expert got this. Step by step 2. A taxi involved in a night-time hit-and-run accident was identified by an

Can you please explain how the expert got this. Step by step

Can you please explain how the expert got this. Step by step

2. A taxi involved in a night-time hit-and-run accident was identified by an eyewitness as being blue. Suppose that in the city, 85% of the cabs are blue and 15% are green. Tests indicated that the witness (in conditions of poor lighting) was able to distinguish correctly the colors blue and green 80% of time. What is the probability that the cab was indeed blue given the eyewitness testimony? Car Color Witness Report P(BlWB) = 0.68 True Positive P(B) = 0.85 P(BlWG) = 0.17 P(GIWB) = 0.03 False Positive P(G) =0.15 P(GlWG)= 0.12 P(Blue CablSaw Blue) = .68!(.68+.03) = 0.95774

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