Question: Central Ltd has three mutually exclusive products and needs to decide which one to launch. The company believes that demand for the products will vary

Central Ltd has three mutually exclusive products and needs to decide which one to launch. The company believes that demand for the products will vary depending on their competitors action. Management of Central Ltd estimates that there is a 30% chance that competitors reaction to their product-to-be launched will be strong, a 20% chance that competitor reaction will be normal and a 50% chance that competitor reaction will be weak. The expected net cash flow for each of the possible outcomes of the competitors reaction is as follows:
Required:
i. Based on the expected cash flows and other information provided, provide a recommendation to Central Ltd on which product it should launch. Provide reasons to support your recommendation with calculations.
ii. Central Ltd is approached by a market consultancy firm, Consumer Analysis Ltd, which can provide the company with a report that shows perfect information on potential competitor reaction in the market. If Central Ltd decides to purchase the consultant report by Consumer Analysis Ltd, what is the maximum amount that the company should pay for? Show your workings.

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