Chapter 3 Problem 13

13.

Below are the 2014 financial statements for Aquatic Supplies Co. Also appearing are managements forecasts for how individual financial statement items will vary in the

future. The company expects sales to grow 12% next year. Aquatic Supplies finances all of its needs with 10-year long-term debt at 10% interest, while excess cash at the end

of the year is added to the cash balance.

a.

Prepare a spreadsheet to estimate Aquatic Supplies 's 2015 need for external funding assuming long-term debt and interest expense remain at their 2011 levels.

b.

Modify your spreadsheet forecast in part (a) to capture the interdependence between the loan and interest expense. That is, switch your spreadsheet to "manual calculation"

and include the necessary loan and added interest expense in your forecast.

c.

Is the required loan in part (b) equal to the required loan you calculated in part (a)? Why are they different?

d.

Perform a sensitivity analysis of Aquatic Supplies Co.s external financing needs as determined in part (b). Assume sales grow at 17% instead of 12%. How much does the

bank loan increase as sales go from 12% to 17%?

e.

Perform a scenario analysis on the companys projection as determined in part (b). Assume sales grow 20%, the cost of goods sold is 38% of sales, inventory falls from 5%

of sales to 3%, and accounts receivable fall from 13% of sales to 10%. What happens to the loan need in this scenario relative to your answer in part (b)?

f.

Return now to the original assumptions and extend your projections in part (b) through 2019. Continue to assume that all external funding needs will be met with debt at 10%

interest and any excess cash will add to the companys cash balance. What are your projected values for long-term debt and cash and equivalents in 2019?

g.

Perform a scenario analysis on your 5-year projection in part (f). Assume growth in sales is 10%, the cost of goods sold is 41% of sales, and selling, general and

administrative expenses are 50% of sales. What are your projected values for long-term debt and cash balance in 2019?

Aquatic Supplies Co.

Income Statement (in $ millions)

2014

Assumptions

Sales

$ 582.762

12%

growth in sales

Cost of Goods Sold

240.828

39%

percentage of sales

Gross Profit

341.934

Selling, General, & Administrative Exp.

257.507

49%

percentage of sales

Operating Income Before Deprec.

84.427

Depreciation,Depletion,&Amortization

25.221

30%

percentage of net PP&E

Operating Profit

59.206

Interest Expense

16.430

initially constant

Pretax Income

42.776

Total Income Taxes

14.971

35%

percentage of earnings before taxes

Net income

$ 27.805

Balance Sheet (in $ millions)

ASSETS

Cash & Equivalents

$ 7.152

2%

minimum cash balance as % of sales

Account Receivable

70.538

13%

percentage of sales

Inventories

39.033

5%

percentage of sales

Prepaid Expenses

9.339

no change

Other Current Assets

27.076

6%

percentage of sales

Total Current Assets

153.138

Net Plant, Property & Equipment

81.648

15%

percentage of sales

Intangibles

9.415

no change

Other Assets

24.642

5%

percentage of sales

TOTAL ASSETS

$ 268.843

LIABILITIES

Accounts Payable

$ 36.951

6%

percentage of sales

Accrued Expenses

31.206

5%

percentage of sales

Other Current Liabilities

3.663

no change

Total Current Liabilities

71.820

Long Term Debt

157.720

initially constant

Accrued wages

21.418

3%

percentage of sales

Total Liabilities

250.958

EQUITY

Common Stock

1.702

no change

Capital Surplus

55.513

no change

Retained Earnings

118.729

no dividends paid so all income is retained

Less: Treasury Stock

158.059

no change

TOTAL EQUITY

17.885

TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY

$ 268.843