Question: Chapter 5 (30 points) From Baron, Chapter 5, Problem 5.11 R, MATLAB, and Python are recommended for this problem . Yes, | will allow C++

Chapter 5 (30 points) From Baron, Chapter 5,
Chapter 5 (30 points) From Baron, Chapter 5, Problem 5.11 R, MATLAB, and Python are recommended for this problem . Yes, | will allow C++ aswell. 5.11 What language did you use? (5 points) START Aforest consists of 1000 trees form perfect 50x20 rectangle. The northwestern(top left) corner tree catches fire. Wind blows from the west, therefore the probability that any tree catches fire from its burning left neighbor is 0.8. The probability of catching fire from trees immediately to the right, above, or below are all equal to 0.3. Trees cannot catch fire diagonally in this problem. Notice: Not everyone's laptop will be up to the task of running this model. The model runs on time slices to show the spread of the forest fire. One estimate is 38,000 runs of the model.. but not every computer can do this. Start with 38 runs of the model. Then 380. Then 3800, then 38000. include a statement on how many runs your laptop was able to perform. a. Constructa Monte Carlo study to estimate the probability that more than 30% of the forest will eventually be burning. (5 points) a) Based on the same study, predict the total number of affected trees X (5 points) b) Estimate std(X) and comment on the accuracy of your estimator of X (5 points) c) What is the probability that the actual number of affected trees differs from your estimator by more than 25 trees? (5 points) d) Awooden house is located in the northeastern corner of the forest. Would you advise the owner that their house is in real danger? (5 points)

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