1. Clearwater Inc. has a new customer default rate of 20%. Each new customer makes $500 purchase on average, and this generates a present value of profit of $200 and a 30% chance of a second order next year. The default rate on second orders is only 5%. If the interest rate is 6%, what is the expected profit from each new customer?
2. 
   
3. (Examine only the first two periods of potential orders.)

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