Community General Hospital finds itself treating many bicycle accident victims. Data from the last seven 24-hour periods
Question:
Community General Hospital finds itself treating many bicycle accident victims. Data from the last seven 24-hour periods is shown below:
Day Bicycle Victims
1 6
2 8
3 4
4 7
5 9
6 9
7 7
a. What are the forecasts for days 4 through 8 using a 3-period moving average model? Round the forecasts to two decimal places.
b. With an alpha value of .4 and a starting forecast in day 3 equal to the actual data, what are the exponentially smoothed forecasts for days 4 through 8? Round the forecasts to two decimal places.
c. What is the MAD for the 3-period moving average forecasts for days 4 through 7? Compare it to the MAD for the exponential smoothing forecasts for days 4 through 7.
Stats Data and Models
ISBN: 978-0321986498
4th edition
Authors: Richard D. De Veaux, Paul D. Velleman, David E. Bock