Question: Consider a short forward contract to sell a certain commodity for $55 in 2 years. Assume that current price is $58, with expected return 10%,

Consider a short forward contract to sell a certain commodity for $55 in 2 years. Assume that current price is $58, with expected return 10%, risk-free rate 3%, volatility 80%. What is the level of loss that will not be exceeded 95% of the time in 9 months?

a. 100.7 b. 92.8 c. 37.2 d. 24.5

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